Match Replay

Step 24 of 54. Current minute: 44 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	7	0	7	2	-	-	-	1.8	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	1	3	1	-	-	-	2.05	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.75	2.6	3.1	1.33	1.44	1.4	1.22	4.33	2.02	1.82	4.33	1.22	10	1.06

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +2.8% | EV +8.8% | ROI -1.8% | n=887 | k=3.10

2) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -4.0% | ROI -3.7% | n=887 | k=2.02

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -4.0% | ROI -4.3% | n=887 | k=1.82

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -3.5% | EV -4.9% | ROI -0.6% | n=887 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 44 minutes, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play. Shot data does not strongly favor either side, though Everton has applied more pressure recently. The game tempo is slower than their previous meeting, where the score was 1-0 at this stage. Historical data is weak and does not support a confident bet on an Everton win despite a slight model edge of +2.8% and EV of +8.8%. The best current option is to watch Everton to win, but the model’s edge is below the threshold for opening a bet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry, so caution is advised given the uncertain ROI and historical performance.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379307 | minute: 44