Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	11	5	6	2	-	2.35	1.8	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	-	-	-	-	2.05	1.57

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.02	21	51	1	1.01	19	-	-	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.93	1.93

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.6% | EV +46.1% | ROI +40.6% | n=167 | k=1.80

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +37.8% | EV +88.8% | ROI +49.2% | n=167 | k=2.35

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +1.0% | ROI +9.5% | n=167 | k=1.92

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.3% | ROI -11.1% | n=167 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Arsenal leads Fulham 2-0 in a match where market pressure strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 31% from pre-match levels. Arsenal has been more active in shots and overall tempo, reflecting the current scoreline well. Historical data supports a bet on Arsenal with a -1 handicap, showing an 86.2% win rate and a 40.6% ROI over 167 similar matches. The model confirms a positive edge of +25.6% and expected value of +46.1% at odds of 1.80, making this a solid betting opportunity. Other markets suggest watching but not betting now, so risk control advises focusing on the handicap -1 bet for value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379309 | minute: 45