Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.62	1.68	-
Away	1	0	0	3	2	1	2	-	-	2.15	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
5	4	1.61	2.2	1.22	1.17	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +3.4% | ROI +5.7% | n=440 | k=3.00

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.1% | ROI +3.0% | n=440 | k=1.67

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.7% | ROI -2.3% | n=440 | k=1.68

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -5.8% | EV -12.5% | ROI -7.1% | n=440 | k=2.15

AI-agent: At 21 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 1-0 and is showing stronger market support with odds dropping 46% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance in shots and pressure. The historical data for similar situations favors under 2.5 goals with a positive ROI of 5.7%, and the model suggests this bet with an edge of +1.1% and EV of +3.4%. However, the edge is below the minimum threshold for placing a bet, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory entry. The match tempo and scoreline align well with past encounters, but caution is advised given the current model signals and risk control considerations.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 21