Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	2.35
Away	2	0	0	6	4	2	3	-	1.57	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
15	7.5	1.17	5	1.08	1.03	-	-	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.5	2.62

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.7% | EV +51.2% | ROI +40.1% | n=123 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +4.0% | EV +9.5% | ROI -0.7% | n=123 | k=2.35

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +3.2% | ROI +6.7% | n=123 | k=2.62

4) No Bet | Double Chance 1X | Edge -0.1% | EV -0.5% | ROI +9.8% | n=123 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At 32 minutes into the match, Tottenham leads Aston Villa 2-0, with no red cards issued. Market pressure is clearly favoring the away side, reflected by a 61% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning well with the current score and match dynamics. Tottenham is more active in shots and tempo, surpassing their previous head-to-head performance, while Aston Villa is underperforming. Historical data for similar situations strongly supports a -1 Asian Handicap on Tottenham, showing a 72.4% win rate and a 40.1% ROI over 123 matches. Although the model identifies a promising edge and expected value for this bet, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and statistics are not yet met, so this remains a watch situation rather than a firm betting opportunity. Risk control suggests monitoring the match closely before committing to a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 32