Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	2.25
Away	2	0	0	6	4	2	3	-	1.62	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
15	7	1.17	5	1.1	1.03	-	-	-	-	1.12	6	1.57	2.38

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.8% | EV +49.4% | ROI +43.0% | n=135 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.8% | ROI +5.6% | n=135 | k=2.38

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +4.6% | ROI +24.4% | n=135 | k=6.00

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.6% | EV +5.9% | ROI -10.0% | n=135 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At 36 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 2-0 and is showing clear market strength with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance. The game has been close, but Tottenham has been more active in shots and pressure recently. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Tottenham with a 73.6% win rate and a strong ROI of 43%, confirming the edge. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules not being fully met based on the current score and tempo. This is a watch situation with positive expected value but not a mandatory bet, so risk should be managed carefully.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 36