Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	2.25
Away	2	0	0	7	4	3	3	-	1.62	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
15	7	1.17	5	1.1	1.03	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.67	2.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.9% | EV +49.5% | ROI +47.0% | n=144 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.7% | EV +1.6% | ROI +2.4% | n=144 | k=2.20

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +4.3% | ROI +18.4% | n=144 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.5% | EV +5.6% | ROI -15.6% | n=144 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At 37 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 2-0 and the market strongly favors the away side, with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels reflecting this advantage. Tottenham is applying consistent pressure and has been more active in shots, aligning with the current scoreline. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Tottenham with a 75.6% win probability and a solid ROI of 47%, confirming a positive edge. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules related to the current score and match tempo. The top markets suggest watching the -1 handicap on Tottenham as the best option, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 37