Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	2.3
Away	2	0	0	7	4	3	3	-	1.6	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
17	7.5	1.14	5.5	1.08	1.02	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.0% | EV +51.8% | ROI +49.2% | n=153 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.3% | ROI +4.3% | n=153 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +4.3% | ROI +22.2% | n=153 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +1.5% | EV +8.0% | ROI +7.8% | n=153 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At 41 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 2-0 and is showing clear market strength with odds dropping 62% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance. The game has been fairly balanced, but Tottenham has been more active in shots and pressure recently, aligning with the scoreline. Historical data supports a -1 Asian Handicap for Tottenham with a 76.6% win rate and a strong ROI of 49.2%, confirming the model's edge of +25% and expected value above 50%. However, the entry conditions for placing this bet are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Monitoring is advised to manage risk effectively given the promising but not yet confirmed opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 41