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Match Replay

Step 23 of 54. Current minute: 43 .
England | Premier League | Aston Villa - Tottenham | 03.05.2026 | 23:00:00 | LIVE 43'   —   Aston Villa 0:2 Tottenham
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 1.62 1.73 2.3
Away 2 0 0 7 4 3 3 - 1.6 2.08 2.25 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
17 7.5 1.14 5.5 1.08 1.02 - - - - 1.17 5 1.73 2.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.0% | EV +51.9% | ROI +54.0% | n=157 | k=2.08
2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.3% | ROI +12.4% | n=157 | k=2.10
3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +4.0% | ROI +30.6% | n=157 | k=5.00
4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.8% | EV +6.5% | ROI -22.4% | n=157 | k=2.30
AI-agent: At 43 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 2-0 and is showing clear market strength with odds dropping 62% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance. The game has been close, but Tottenham has been more active in shots and pressure, especially in recent minutes. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Tottenham with a strong 79.4% win rate and a 54% ROI, confirming this as a value bet. However, the model has not triggered a full entry yet due to current score and tempo conditions, so this remains a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Monitoring this market is advised to control risk and wait for a clearer entry signal.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 43