Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	2.35
Away	2	0	0	8	4	4	3	-	1.57	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
19	8	1.12	6	1.08	1.02	-	-	-	-	1.2	4.5	1.9	1.95

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.0% | EV +53.9% | ROI +57.1% | n=175 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +2.3% | ROI +7.0% | n=175 | k=1.95

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +4.0% | ROI +20.9% | n=175 | k=4.50

4) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +2.2% | EV +13.2% | ROI -7.4% | n=175 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At halftime, Tottenham leads Aston Villa 2-0, reflecting the current match dynamics where Tottenham has been more active and applying pressure, especially in the last phase. Market odds have shifted significantly in favor of Tottenham, with a 62% drop from pre-match levels, confirming the guests' dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap -1 bet, showing an 81.4% win rate and 57.1% ROI over 175 similar matches. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules not being fully met with the current score and match flow. This is a monitoring situation with promising indicators but no mandatory bet recommendation at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 45