Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	2.6
Away	2	0	0	8	4	4	3	-	1.48	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
26	9.5	1.08	8	1.06	1.01	-	-	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.3	1.61

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.6% | EV +59.4% | ROI +65.0% | n=181 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +4.4% | ROI +26.4% | n=181 | k=3.75

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.1% | EV +13.3% | ROI -23.9% | n=181 | k=2.60

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.3% | ROI +4.4% | n=181 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At 54 minutes, Tottenham leads Aston Villa 2-0 in a match that has seen market support shift strongly towards the visitors, with odds dropping 65% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score. Tottenham has been more active in shots, although recent play lacks sustained pressure from either side. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not confirm a reliable edge for betting on Aston Villa not to lose, despite a model signal suggesting a positive expected value. The top-4 market indicators recommend watching the Asian Handicap on Tottenham -1 and Under 2.5 goals, but no confident bet is advised now due to insufficient historical confirmation. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity, and risk control remains important given the current match dynamics and historical uncertainty.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 54