Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	0	2	2	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	3.3
Away	2	0	0	9	4	5	4	-	1.32	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
51	15	1.03	15	1.03	1	-	-	-	-	1.8	2.05	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +33.7% | EV +70.0% | ROI +86.1% | n=173 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +1.9% | ROI +22.1% | n=173 | k=2.05

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.3% | EV +20.7% | ROI -46.6% | n=173 | k=3.30

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.3% | EV -9.5% | ROI -27.2% | n=173 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At the 73rd minute, Tottenham leads Aston Villa 2-0 in a match that has seen market support shift strongly towards the visitors, with odds dropping by 66% from pre-match levels. Tottenham has been more active in shots, reflecting their current advantage, although Aston Villa is pressing in the latest phase. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a confident bet on Aston Villa not losing, despite a model signal suggesting value with a 7.3% edge and positive expected value. The top markets recommend watching the Asian Handicap for away -1 and under 2.5 goals, but no clear betting opportunity is confirmed, so this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry. Caution is advised given the historical ROI and current market dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 73