Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	3	-	-	-	1.62	1.73	3.55
Away	2	0	0	9	4	5	4	-	1.27	2.08	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
67	19	1.02	19	1.02	1	-	-	-	-	2.12	1.75	8	1.08

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +34.5% | EV +71.6% | ROI +94.9% | n=170 | k=2.08

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.1% | ROI +15.3% | n=170 | k=1.75

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +6.0% | EV +21.2% | ROI -62.4% | n=170 | k=3.55

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.8% | EV -10.3% | ROI -27.5% | n=170 | k=2.12

AI-agent: At the 78th minute, Tottenham leads Aston Villa 2-0 in a match where the market strongly favors the visitors, with odds dropping by 66% from pre-match levels. Tottenham has been more active in shots, reflecting their control despite Villa's late pressure. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a reliable bet on Aston Villa not losing, despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value for a 1X bet. The top markets suggest watching Asian Handicap away -1 and under 2.5 goals, but no clear betting opportunity is confirmed due to historical underperformance and risk. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet moment, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 78