Match Replay

Step 8 of 54. Current minute: 12 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	1.62	1.62	-
Away	1	0	0	2	1	1	2	-	-	2.25	2.25	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	4	1.67	2.1	1.22	1.18	-	-	1.06	10	1.33	3.4	1.98	1.88

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +2.0% | ROI +5.7% | n=2045 | k=1.88

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +4.2% | ROI +12.9% | n=2045 | k=3.40

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.3% | ROI NA | n=2045 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -5.8% | EV -13.0% | ROI NA | n=2045 | k=2.25

AI-agent: At 12 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 1-0 and is showing stronger pressure with more shots on goal. The market has shifted significantly in favor of the visitors, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels. Historical data supports betting under 2.5 goals with a 58.6% win rate and a positive ROI of 12.9%, confirming the model's edge. However, the current model edge of +1.2% is below the minimum threshold for placing a bet, so this is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry. The best value lies in under 2.5 goals, but risk control advises caution before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 12