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England | Premier League | Aston Villa - Tottenham | 03.05.2026 | 23:00:00 | LIVE 12'   —   Aston Villa 0:1 Tottenham
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 1.62 1.57 -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 2 - - 2.35 2.25 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
4.33 4 1.73 2 1.22 1.2 - - 1.05 11 1.3 3.5 1.9 1.95
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +2.3% | ROI +5.7% | n=2045 | k=1.95
2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +3.3% | ROI +12.9% | n=2045 | k=3.50
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.7% | EV -2.7% | ROI NA | n=2045 | k=1.57
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.3% | EV -10.2% | ROI NA | n=2045 | k=2.35
AI-agent: At 12 minutes into the Aston Villa vs Tottenham match, Tottenham leads 1-0 and is applying clear pressure with more shots on goal. The market has shifted significantly in favor of the visitors, reflecting their current dominance. Historical data supports betting under 3.5 goals with a 79.3% probability and positive ROI, but the model's edge is currently below the threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 3.5 goals or under 2.5 goals as potential options, but no strong entry is confirmed yet. This is a monitoring situation where caution is advised despite Tottenham's active play and market momentum.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379310 | minute: 12