Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	1.68	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.93	2.15

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	6.5	15	1.03	1.11	4.33	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2	2.1	1.73

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.2% | EV +12.0% | ROI +1.3% | n=117 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +61.2% | ROI +51.8% | n=117 | k=4.33

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.8% | ROI +30.5% | n=117 | k=2.15

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.4% | ROI -21.8% | n=117 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 17 minutes into the Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace match, Bournemouth leads 1-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 23% from pre-match levels reflecting their advantage. Bournemouth's dominance is confirmed by shot statistics and recent pressure, aligning well with the current scoreline. Historical data for similar situations supports a bet on Bournemouth with a -1 handicap, showing a slight positive ROI of 1.3% over 117 matches and a fair odds estimate near 1.89. The model confirms this bet with an edge of +6.2% and expected value of +12.0%, though no new position is opened as this bet is already active or covered. Among top markets, the best bet is Bournemouth -1 handicap, but other options like double chance for Crystal Palace or over/under goals are on watch only, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry. Overall, the situation suggests cautious confidence in backing Bournemouth to maintain their lead, with risk control advised given the ongoing match dynamics and historical variability.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 17