Match Replay

Step 16 of 74. Current minute: 20 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	1.7	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.93	2.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	6.5	15	1.03	1.11	4.33	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +61.2% | ROI +52.5% | n=125 | k=4.33

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.8% | EV +3.7% | ROI +32.7% | n=125 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.7% | EV +10.9% | ROI -1.2% | n=125 | k=1.92

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI -16.0% | n=125 | k=1.67

AI-agent: At 20 minutes into the match, Bournemouth leads Crystal Palace 1-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 23% from pre-match levels reflecting their current advantage. Bournemouth is confirming dominance in shots and tempo, showing more activity than in previous meetings, while Crystal Palace is underperforming. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support opening a bet on Bournemouth -1 handicap despite a positive model edge of +5.7% and expected value of +10.9%. The top-4 market signals suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity. Caution is advised given the mixed signals and the need for stronger historical confirmation before placing a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 20