Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	4	8	7	-	1.18	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	-	1.93	4.8

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	23	81	1	1.01	23	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.93	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.8% | EV +53.4% | ROI +61.5% | n=42 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.2% | EV +2.2% | ROI -22.1% | n=42 | k=1.92

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.5% | EV -2.6% | ROI +48.6% | n=42 | k=4.80

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.1% | EV -9.7% | ROI +14.6% | n=42 | k=1.92

AI-agent: At the 76th minute with Bournemouth leading 2-0 over Crystal Palace, the market shows no strong shift from pre-match odds, reflecting the current scoreline accurately. Bournemouth confirms their pre-match favorite status by maintaining shot dominance, though recent minutes lack sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a strong edge for the home handicap -1 bet, with a 96.7% win rate and 61.5% ROI over 42 similar matches. The model confirms this bet with a 27.8% edge and 53.4% expected value, but no new position is opened as it is already covered. The top recommendation is to back Bournemouth on AH -1, balancing promising returns with risk control, while other markets suggest monitoring rather than active bets.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 76