Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	12	4	8	7	-	2.38	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.55

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.55	4.33	5.25	1.14	1.2	2.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.93

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +28.5% | EV +54.8% | ROI +61.5% | n=42 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +38.3% | EV +91.0% | ROI -18.9% | n=42 | k=2.38

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.4% | EV +2.7% | ROI +3.3% | n=42 | k=1.92

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -7.5% | EV -39.5% | ROI +92.9% | n=42 | k=5.25

AI-agent: At 76 minutes with Bournemouth leading 3-0, the market shows no strong signal or significant drop from pre-match odds, reflecting the current scoreline well. Bournemouth confirms their pre-match favorite status with shot dominance, though recent pressure has been balanced. Historical data supports a strong edge on the home handicap -1 bet, with a 96.7% win rate and 61.5% ROI, and the model confirms this with a +28.5% edge and +54.8% expected value. The AH_HOME-1 bet is recommended but note the position may already be open or covered in portfolios. Other markets suggest monitoring but no mandatory new entries now, so risk control remains important.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 76