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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	0	3	2	-	1.68	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.93	2.15

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	6.5	13	1.04	1.11	4.33	-	-	1.06	10	1.33	3.4	2.02	1.82

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.5% | EV +8.7% | ROI +3.0% | n=117 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.6% | EV +67.7% | ROI +48.1% | n=117 | k=4.33

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.3% | EV +7.1% | ROI +28.6% | n=117 | k=2.15

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +1.1% | EV +2.0% | ROI -12.6% | n=117 | k=1.82

AI-agent: At 16 minutes into the Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace match, Bournemouth leads 1-0 with no red cards. The market shows strong support for the home side, with odds dropping 23% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. Although shots don't clearly favor either team, Bournemouth has been more dominant recently and is playing above their last meeting's level, while Crystal Palace is underperforming. Historical data supports a home handicap -1 bet with a 54% win rate and positive ROI, and the model confirms an edge of +4.5% and expected value of +8.7%. The recommended bet is AH_HOME-1, but no need to repeat it now. Other markets suggest watching double chance and away handicap options, indicating a monitoring phase rather than mandatory entries. Risk control is advised given the moderate edge and game dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 16