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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	1	4	2	-	1.68	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.93	2.15

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	6.5	15	1.03	1.11	4.5	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.0% | EV +11.5% | ROI +1.8% | n=127 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.6% | EV +65.7% | ROI +52.4% | n=127 | k=4.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.8% | EV +5.9% | ROI +32.0% | n=127 | k=2.15

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI -13.4% | n=127 | k=1.67

AI-agent: At 21 minutes into the match, Bournemouth leads Crystal Palace 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels, reflecting Bournemouth's dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data supports a -1 handicap on Bournemouth with a 53.3% win probability and positive ROI, confirmed by the model showing a 6% edge and 11.5% expected value. Although the position is already held or covered, this remains the best bet with controlled risk. Other options like double chance for Crystal Palace or away handicap are on watch but not recommended for new bets now. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 21