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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	1	5	3	-	1.68	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.93	2.15

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.18	6.5	15	1.03	1.11	4.5	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.6% | EV +65.7% | ROI +62.3% | n=122 | k=4.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.9% | EV +6.2% | ROI +37.5% | n=122 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.9% | EV +11.4% | ROI -2.7% | n=122 | k=1.92

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI -12.6% | n=122 | k=1.67

AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace match, Bournemouth leads 1-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels reflecting their current advantage. Bournemouth is applying pressure and confirming their dominance in shots, while Crystal Palace is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data for similar situations is weak and does not support a confident bet on Bournemouth -1 handicap, despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value. The top-4 markets suggest watching the game rather than placing a bet now, as the risk control advises caution given the mixed signals and negative ROI history.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 23