Home Demo Matches Registration Help FAQ
England | Premier League | Bournemouth - Crystal Palace | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 42'   —   Bournemouth 2:0 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 8 3 5 5 - 2.38 1.93 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 1.93 1.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.03 17 41 1 1.02 15 - - - - 1.17 5 1.73 2.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.9% | EV +49.9% | ROI +55.5% | n=51 | k=1.92
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +31.7% | EV +75.3% | ROI +67.6% | n=51 | k=2.38
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.7% | ROI -5.3% | n=51 | k=2.10
4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.9% | EV +4.4% | ROI -41.2% | n=51 | k=5.00
AI-agent: At 42 minutes into the Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace match, Bournemouth leads 2-0 and the market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels reflecting their current advantage. Bournemouth's dominance is confirmed by shot statistics and recent pressure, aligning well with the scoreline. Historical data supports a bet on Bournemouth with a -1 handicap, showing an 87.8% win rate and a 55.5% ROI over 51 similar matches. The model confirms this with a +25.9% edge and +49.9% expected value at odds around 1.93. Although the position is already open or covered in the portfolio, this remains the best value bet currently. Other markets like -1.5 handicap or under goals are on watch due to higher risk or less favorable ROI. This is a strong monitoring situation with a clear edge on the -1 handicap, but risk management is advised as the match progresses.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 42