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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	4	8	7	-	2.38	1.93	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	-	1.93	1.55

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.02	19	51	1	1.02	19	-	-	-	-	1.53	2.5	3.5	1.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.2% | EV +52.3% | ROI +47.3% | n=52 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +35.7% | EV +84.8% | ROI +46.2% | n=52 | k=2.38

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +1.0% | EV +2.4% | ROI -51.9% | n=52 | k=2.50

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -6.2% | EV -9.5% | ROI +23.8% | n=52 | k=1.53

AI-agent: At 65 minutes with Bournemouth leading 2-0 against Crystal Palace, the market strongly supports the home side, with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels reflecting their advantage. Bournemouth confirms dominance in shots compared to previous encounters, while Crystal Palace underperforms relative to their usual level. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong 86.5% win rate for Bournemouth with AH -1 handicap, yielding a 47.3% ROI, and the model confirms this with a +27.2% edge and +52.3% expected value. Although the AH -1 bet is already active or covered in the portfolio, this remains the best value bet currently, with risk controlled by monitoring other options like AH -1.5 and under 2.5 goals. No bet is advised on over 2.5 goals due to negative expected value. Overall, this is a favorable scenario to watch or consider if not already positioned, but not a mandatory new entry at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 65