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England | Premier League | Bournemouth - Crystal Palace | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 68'   —   Bournemouth 2:0 Crystal Palace
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 12 4 8 7 - 2.38 1.93 - - -
Away 0 0 0 3 1 2 1 - - - - 1.93 1.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.02 19 67 1 1.02 19 - - - - 1.61 2.3 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +27.5% | EV +52.9% | ROI +51.4% | n=48 | k=1.92
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +36.9% | EV +87.7% | ROI +53.4% | n=48 | k=2.38
3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.8% | EV +1.9% | ROI -42.5% | n=48 | k=2.30
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -6.2% | EV -10.0% | ROI +21.1% | n=48 | k=1.61
AI-agent: At 68 minutes with Bournemouth leading 2-0, the market strongly supports the home side, with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels, reflecting their confirmed dominance in shots. Although recent pressure has been balanced, the scoreline aligns well with the match flow. Historical data for similar situations shows a strong edge for Bournemouth on AH -1, with 88.6% win probability and a 51.4% ROI, confirming a fair value bet at odds around 1.13. The model confirms this with a 27.5% edge and expected value over 50%, though no new bet is advised as the position is already covered. Among top markets, AH -1 is the best bet with controlled risk, while AH -1.5 and Under 2.5 goals are watch options. Over 2.5 goals is not recommended due to negative expected value. This is a favorable scenario to monitor or maintain existing positions rather than open new ones.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379311 | minute: 68