Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	5	3	2	1	-	1.62	2.02	1.73	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.08	1.82	2.25

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	7	12	1.04	1.1	4.33	-	-	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.9% | EV +44.3% | ROI +56.5% | n=31 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.8% | EV +3.6% | ROI -44.1% | n=31 | k=4.33

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.3% | EV -3.7% | ROI +10.1% | n=31 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -2.7% | ROI +3.2% | n=31 | k=3.20

AI-agent: At the 25th minute of the Man United vs Liverpool match, Man United leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 49% drop in odds from pre-match levels, aligning with the current score and match dynamics. Man United is more active in shots and tempo compared to Liverpool and their previous meeting, where Liverpool led at this stage but lost. Historical data supports a bet on AH_HOME-1 (home handicap -1) with an 84% win rate and a 56.5% ROI, confirmed by a solid sample of 31 matches. The model shows a strong edge of +21.9% and expected value of +44.3% at odds of 2.02. This is the recommended bet with controlled risk, while other markets suggest monitoring or no bet at this point.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379316 | minute: 25