Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	5	3	2	1	-	1.62	2.02	1.73	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.08	1.82	2.25

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.2	7	12	1.04	1.1	4.33	-	-	-	-	1.08	8	1.4	3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +21.7% | EV +44.0% | ROI +51.6% | n=32 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.8% | EV +3.6% | ROI -45.8% | n=32 | k=4.33

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.6% | EV -4.3% | ROI +1.6% | n=32 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -2.9% | ROI +12.5% | n=32 | k=3.00

AI-agent: At 26 minutes into the match, Manchester United leads Liverpool 2-0, with no red cards issued. The market strongly favors the home side, with odds dropping 49% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance and shot advantage. Historical data supports a bet on Manchester United with a -1 handicap, showing an 83.3% win rate and a 51.6% ROI over 32 similar matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +21.7% and expected value of +44.0%, though no new bet is opened as this position is already held. The top recommendation is to back Manchester United on AH -1, but given the current exposure, this is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory new entry. Other markets suggest caution, with watch signals or no bet advised to control risk effectively.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379316 | minute: 26