Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	3	4	1	-	1.48	2.02	1.73	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	1	4	0	-	-	-	2.08	1.82	2.6

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.11	8.5	19	1.02	1.07	6.5	-	-	-	-	1.12	6	1.61	2.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.0% | EV +50.6% | ROI +60.6% | n=56 | k=2.02

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.2% | EV +3.0% | ROI -16.4% | n=56 | k=2.60

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -3.7% | ROI +15.0% | n=56 | k=2.30

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -7.4% | EV -11.0% | ROI +0.1% | n=56 | k=1.48

AI-agent: At the 45th minute in the Man United vs Liverpool match, Man United leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 53% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The match has been fairly balanced, but Man United has been more active in shots, aligning with the current score. Historical data supports backing Man United with a -1 handicap, showing an 88.4% win rate and a 60.6% ROI over 56 similar matches. The model confirms a strong edge (+25%) and expected value (+50.6%) for this bet at odds of 2.02. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already covered in the portfolio. This is a clear opportunity to consider the AH_HOME-1 bet with controlled risk, while other markets suggest monitoring or no bet at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379316 | minute: 45