Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	12	3	9	3	-	3.1	2.15	1.8	-	-
Away	2	0	0	10	4	6	1	-	-	-	2.05	1.73	1.35

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.4	1.95	3.75	1.25	1.73	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +35.4% | EV +61.0% | ROI +53.7% | n=27 | k=1.73

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +20.6% | EV +27.8% | ROI +35.0% | n=27 | k=1.35

3) Watch | AWAY | Edge +1.6% | EV +5.8% | ROI -44.4% | n=27 | k=3.75

4) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -4.4% | EV -7.6% | ROI -29.6% | n=27 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At 72 minutes with the score tied 2-2 between Man United and Liverpool, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 48% from pre-match levels reflecting the current scoreline. Shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, though Liverpool has applied more pressure recently. The match tempo and score align with previous encounters, where Liverpool led 1-0 at this stage and eventually won 2-1. Historical data for the away handicap +1.5 shows perfect past results but the sample size is slightly below the preferred threshold, so the model signals a positive edge (+20.6%) and expected value (+27.8%) on this bet at 1.35 odds, yet the entry is not confirmed due to weak historical validation. Top-4 market indicators suggest watching the away handicap +1 and +1.5 with good edges and EV, but no mandatory bet is advised now. This is a monitoring phase where risk control is important before committing to a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379316 | minute: 72