Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	2.42	1.95	1.73	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.08	1.9	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	4.33	5.5	1.14	1.2	2.38	-	-	1.04	13	1.22	4.33	1.67	2.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +1.8% | EV +9.9% | ROI +95.3% | n=611 | k=5.50

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -7.3% | ROI +104.0% | n=611 | k=4.33

3) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -0.4% | EV -0.8% | ROI +53.5% | n=611 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.7% | EV -3.8% | ROI +56.9% | n=611 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At 7 minutes into the match, Manchester United leads Liverpool 1-0, with no red cards issued. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels, and the hosts have been more active in shots and tempo recently. Historically, similar situations show a 35.5% probability of an away win with a strong ROI of 95.3%, but the model's edge of +1.8% is below the minimum threshold for placing a bet. The top market recommendation is to watch the away win option at odds of 5.50, indicating a potential value but suggesting caution and monitoring rather than immediate betting. Other markets like under 2.5 goals or double chance on the away team do not present positive expected value currently.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379316 | minute: 7