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England | Premier League | Man United - Liverpool | 03.05.2026 | 19:30:00 | LIVE 11'   —   Man United 1:0 Liverpool
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 3 1 2 1 - 2.5 2 1.73 - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 2.08 1.85 1.5
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.57 4.33 5 1.17 1.2 2.25 - - 1.04 13 1.25 4 1.73 2.1
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +1.9% | EV +9.3% | ROI -31.6% | n=95 | k=5.00
2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.6% | EV -1.2% | ROI -4.5% | n=95 | k=1.85
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -3.9% | ROI -4.9% | n=95 | k=2.10
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.4% | EV -6.8% | ROI -1.1% | n=95 | k=2.00
AI-agent: At 11 minutes into the match, Manchester United leads Liverpool 1-0, with the market increasingly favoring the home side as odds have dropped by 33% since pre-match. The game has been closely contested, but United shows more attacking activity, especially in recent minutes. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not support a clear advantage, showing a negative ROI of -31.6%. The model suggests a potential value bet on an away win with an edge of +1.9% and EV of +9.3%, but this is below the minimum threshold for placing a bet. According to the top markets, this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, so monitoring the match further is advised to manage risk effectively.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379316 | minute: 11