Match Replay

Step 10 of 67. Current minute: 15 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	2.25	2.02	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	1.82	1.62	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	4	4.33	1.2	1.22	2	-	-	1.04	13	1.28	3.75	1.85	2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -4.6% | EV -10.4% | ROI +16.5% | n=109 | k=2.25

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -3.1% | ROI -4.6% | n=109 | k=2.00

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.4% | EV -2.2% | ROI -19.2% | n=109 | k=1.62

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -3.0% | ROI -31.2% | n=109 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At 15 minutes into the Newcastle vs Brighton match, Newcastle leads 1-0, but the market pressure favors the home side with odds dropping 36% from pre-match levels. Despite the scoreline, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and recent play shows no sustained pressure. Historical data for under 1.5 goals by this stage is weak and unprofitable, with a negative ROI of -52.3%. The model suggests a slight disadvantage on the under 1.5 goals bet with negative expected value, so no bet is recommended currently. Top-4 market signals also advise against betting, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 15