Match Replay

Step 14 of 67. Current minute: 22 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	-	2.35	2.02	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	1.82	1.57	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.73	4	4.5	1.18	1.22	2	-	-	1.06	10	1.33	3.4	2.05	1.8

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -3.7% | EV -8.7% | ROI +13.4% | n=128 | k=2.35

2) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -3.4% | ROI -4.4% | n=128 | k=1.80

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.3% | EV -3.7% | ROI -15.7% | n=128 | k=1.57

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.6% | EV -4.8% | ROI +3.1% | n=128 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At 22 minutes, Newcastle leads Brighton 1-0, with market odds favoring the home side as their price dropped 36% from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and recent play shows no sustained pressure. Newcastle is more active than in their last meeting, while Brighton is below their usual level. Historical data on under 2.5 goals in similar situations is weak and shows negative ROI, and the model's edge is slightly negative at -0.9%, so no bet is advised. The top-4 market analysis also suggests no confident betting opportunities currently, indicating this is a watch situation rather than a clear entry point.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 22