Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	2	1	1	0	-	1.7	2.3	2.02	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	3	-	-	-	1.82	1.6	2.1

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	6.5	11	1.05	1.11	4	-	-	-	-	1.07	9	1.36	3.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.5% | EV +60.9% | ROI +10.8% | n=122 | k=2.30

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.7% | ROI NA | n=122 | k=2.10

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -3.3% | ROI -5.6% | n=122 | k=3.20

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -6.8% | EV -11.6% | ROI NA | n=122 | k=1.70

AI-agent: At 23 minutes into the Newcastle vs Brighton match, Newcastle leads 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors Newcastle, with odds dropping 55% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score and Newcastle's active attacking play. Historical data for similar situations shows a balanced 50% win rate for the home team with a positive ROI of 10.8%, supporting the AH_HOME-1 handicap at odds of 2.30 and an edge of +26.5%. However, the model has not triggered a bet yet due to entry rules not being fully met in terms of current score, tempo, and match stats. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory bet, so cautious observation is advised before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 23