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Match Replay

Step 43 of 67. Current minute: 61 .
England | Premier League | Newcastle - Brighton | 02.05.2026 | 19:00:00 | LIVE 61'   —   Newcastle 2:1 Brighton
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 10 5 5 2 - 1.5 2.35 2.02 - -
Away 1 0 0 8 1 7 5 - - - 1.82 1.57 2.5
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.5 3.6 9 1.07 1.25 2.5 - - - - - - 1.4 3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +42.8% | EV +106.9% | ROI -23.5% | n=49 | k=2.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.4% | EV +5.4% | ROI -64.5% | n=49 | k=1.57
3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -9.4% | EV -22.2% | ROI +82.0% | n=49 | k=2.35
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -3.5% | ROI -3.0% | n=49 | k=3.00
AI-agent: At the 61st minute, Newcastle leads Brighton 2-1 in a balanced match with Newcastle showing more shot activity. Market pressure favors the home side, with odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score. Historical data for away handicap +1.5 is weak and shows a negative ROI, so the historical edge is unreliable. The model identifies a promising bet on Brighton +1.5 handicap with a 42.8% edge and +106.9% expected value, but entry conditions are not met due to the match tempo and score dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching the away +1.5 handicap as a potential opportunity, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting signal, so caution is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379317 | minute: 61