Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	5	2	3	4	-	-	-	3.1	1.3	1.57
Away	1	0	0	4	2	2	2	-	2.35	3.45	1.35	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
4.5	3.2	1.91	1.8	1.33	1.18	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.02	1.82	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +10.6% | EV +16.6% | ROI +10.7% | n=458 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +1.3% | EV +4.3% | ROI +33.0% | n=458 | k=3.45

3) Watch | HOME | Edge +8.7% | EV +39.0% | ROI -43.0% | n=458 | k=4.50

4) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +4.3% | EV +7.7% | ROI -28.5% | n=458 | k=1.80

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Sunderland leads Wolves 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors Sunderland, reflected by a 10% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not strongly confirm dominance for either side. Wolves have been pressing more recently, but the game remains balanced overall. Historical data supports a +1.5 handicap on Wolves with a 70% win rate and a positive ROI of 10.7%, confirmed by the model with an edge of +10.6% and expected value of +16.6%. The best betting opportunity is on Wolves +1.5 handicap at odds of 1.57, though the position may already be held or covered in portfolios. Other markets like Sunderland -1 handicap and home win are worth watching but not recommended for new bets now. This is a monitored situation with a clear edge on Wolves +1.5, but risk control is advised given the balanced match dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379318 | minute: 45