Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	3	1	2	4	-	-	3.3	1.48	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	12	3	9	4	-	-	3.1	2.6	1.32	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.1	3	3.75	1.25	1.36	1.67	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +7.4% | EV +27.9% | ROI +125.0% | n=128 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +6.8% | EV +11.4% | ROI +41.9% | n=128 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.8% | EV +19.5% | ROI +20.6% | n=128 | k=1.32

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.4% | EV +14.1% | ROI -17.5% | n=128 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At the 40th minute with the score 1:1, the Brentford — Crystal Palace match remains balanced, with the away side more active in shots but no sustained pressure from either team. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1 market at odds 1.32, with strong historical validation showing ROI 20.6% over 128 matches. The model edge is +14.8% and EV +19.5%, yet entry rules are not met given the current score and tempo, so the status is Watch. Confirmation of increased tempo, statistics, and pressure on goal is needed to open a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379332 | minute: 40