Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	5	3	2	2	-	2.5	1.62	1.5	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	2.5	2.25	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.3	4.75	12	1.04	1.17	3.4	-	-	1.28	3.75	2.2	1.67	4.5	1.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.2% | EV +14.0% | ROI +23.6% | n=467 | k=2.25

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.6% | EV +12.2% | ROI +37.6% | n=467 | k=3.40

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +2.0% | EV +9.6% | ROI +29.2% | n=467 | k=4.75

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.2% | EV +1.9% | ROI +9.5% | n=467 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Everton leads 1:0 with a slight advantage in shots and tempo. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1 market at odds 2.25, with historical validation over 467 matches showing a 23.6% ROI and 60% win probability. The model edge is +6.2% and EV +14.0%, but entry is not confirmed yet given the current score and tempo, so the status is Watch, not Bet. Confirmation from tempo, shots, or odds movement is needed before placing a bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379334 | minute: 45