Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	-	-	-	2.5	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	1.5	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	3.4	2.05	1.67	1.3	1.25	1.07	9	1.33	3.4	2.1	1.73	3.75	1.28

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge +4.4% | EV +9.2% | ROI -4.8% | n=172 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge +2.2% | EV +3.0% | ROI -2.4% | n=172 | k=1.33

3) No Bet | Double Chance 12 | Edge -1.9% | EV -2.5% | ROI -5.5% | n=172 | k=1.30

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -9.9% | EV -17.1% | ROI -5.6% | n=172 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At the 15th minute of Leeds vs Brighton, the score is 0:0 with Brighton more active in shots but no sustained pressure. TOP-4 highlights the over 2.5 goals market at odds 2.10, with a model edge of +4.4% and EV +9.2%, though historical validation is weak with ROI -4.8%. The entry rule is not confirmed by the current score and tempo, so the status is Watch. Confirmation requires increased tempo, pressure, or odds movement before betting.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379335 | minute: 15