Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	0	-	1.93	1.4	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	2	-	-	-	-	2.85	1.93

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5.5	12	1.04	1.14	3.75	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.38	1.57

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +20.3% | EV +39.0% | ROI +28.3% | n=135 | k=1.92

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +24.0% | EV +68.5% | ROI +40.7% | n=135 | k=2.85

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.5% | EV +50.6% | ROI +50.0% | n=135 | k=3.75

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.0% | EV +27.5% | ROI +22.2% | n=135 | k=5.50

AI-agent: At the 32nd minute, Manchester United leads 1-0 in a balanced match against Nottingham Forest. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.93, with historical validation showing a 28.3% ROI on a sample of 135 games. The model edge is +20.3% and EV +39.0%, but no new bet is opened due to an existing position. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation from game tempo and pressure to enter the position.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379336 | minute: 32