Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	10	2	8	2	-	2.1	1.48	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	1	2	3	-	-	-	-	2.6	1.7

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.28	5	12	1.04	1.17	3.5	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.7	2.1	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +16.9% | EV +28.7% | ROI +16.7% | n=118 | k=1.70

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.0% | EV +65.0% | ROI +35.1% | n=118 | k=2.60

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.6% | EV +47.7% | ROI +45.3% | n=118 | k=3.50

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.3% | EV +26.7% | ROI +27.1% | n=118 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 45th minute, Manchester United leads 1:0 in a balanced match against Nottingham Forest. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.70, with historical validation showing a 16.7% ROI over 118 matches. The model edge is +16.9% and EV +28.7%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, not Bet, pending confirmation from further tempo and pressure developments.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379336 | minute: 45