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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	0	-	1.85	1.38	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	-	-	3	2

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	6	12	1.04	1.12	3.75	-	-	1.07	9	1.4	3	2.2	1.67

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +19.5% | EV +38.9% | ROI +30.1% | n=123 | k=2.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +22.7% | EV +68.2% | ROI +35.0% | n=123 | k=3.00

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.3% | EV +46.2% | ROI +31.1% | n=123 | k=3.75

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.0% | EV +30.1% | ROI +22.0% | n=123 | k=6.00

AI-agent: At the 25th minute, Manchester United leads 1-0 against Nottingham Forest, with the home side holding slight control and more shots. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 2.00, with historical validation from 123 matches showing a 30.1% ROI and 65% win probability. The model edge is +19.5% and EV +38.9%, but no new bet is opened due to an existing position. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation from game tempo and odds movement.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379336 | minute: 25