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England | Premier League | Man United - Nott'm Forest | 17.05.2026 | 16:30:00 | LIVE 49'   —   Man United 1:0 Nott'm Forest
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 11 2 9 2 - 2.1 1.48 - - -
Away 0 0 0 4 1 3 4 - - - - 2.6 1.7
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.25 5 13 1.04 1.17 3.75 - - 1.17 5 1.82 2.02 3.5 1.3
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +17.7% | EV +30.1% | ROI +17.2% | n=103 | k=1.70
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +25.0% | EV +65.0% | ROI +31.1% | n=103 | k=2.60
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +52.9% | ROI +45.6% | n=103 | k=3.75
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.3% | EV +26.3% | ROI +35.9% | n=103 | k=5.00
AI-agent: At the 49th minute, Man United leads 1:0 in a balanced game with a slight edge in shots and pressure from the home side. TOP-4 highlights the AH_AWAY+1.5 market at odds 1.70, with historical validation over 103 matches showing a 17.2% ROI and 68.9% win rate. The model edge is +17.7% with an EV of +30.1%, but no new bet is opened as the position is already covered in the portfolio. The current status is Watch, keeping the market under observation while awaiting confirmation on tempo and pressure.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379336 | minute: 49