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England | Premier League | Man United - Nott'm Forest | 17.05.2026 | 16:30:00 | LIVE 58'   —   Man United 2:1 Nott'm Forest
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 14 3 11 3 - 2.25 1.43 1.32 - -
Away 1 0 0 5 2 3 5 - - - 3.3 2.75 1.62
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.2 5.5 19 1.02 1.14 4.33 - - - - - - 1.3 3.5
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +17.8% | EV +28.9% | ROI +20.2% | n=50 | k=1.62
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +26.6% | EV +73.2% | ROI +33.5% | n=50 | k=2.75
3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.2% | EV +52.7% | ROI +47.3% | n=50 | k=4.33
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.9% | EV +32.5% | ROI +10.0% | n=50 | k=5.50
AI-agent: At the 58th minute, Manchester United leads 2:1 against Nottingham Forest. TOP-4 highlights the away handicap +1.5 market at odds 1.62, with historical validation over 50 matches showing a 20.2% ROI and a 74% win rate. The model edge is +17.8% with an EV of +28.9%, but the position is already open or covered in the portfolio, so no new bet is advised. The current status is Watch, not Bet, awaiting confirmation from further tempo and home pressure developments.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1379336 | minute: 58