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Match Replay

Step 19 of 72. Current minute: 26 .
France | Ligue 1 | Le Havre - Metz | 26.04.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 26'   —   Le Havre 2:1 Metz
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 3 2 1 1 - 1.95 1.43 - - -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - - - 2.75 1.9
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.28 5.5 11 1.05 1.14 3.5 - - - - - - 1.07 9
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.7% | EV +48.1% | ROI +133.3% | n=21 | k=3.50
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.9% | EV +32.7% | ROI +102.4% | n=21 | k=2.75
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.1% | EV +27.8% | ROI +188.1% | n=21 | k=5.50
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.0% | EV +3.8% | ROI +62.9% | n=21 | k=1.90
AI-agent: At 26 minutes into the Le Havre vs Metz match, the score is 2-1 in favor of Le Havre. Market pressure is leaning towards the home team, with odds dropping 20% from pre-match levels, reflecting their shot advantage. However, recent play shows no sustained dominance by either side, and the current score aligns well with the match flow. Historical data on similar situations suggests a 66.7% chance for a draw or Metz win, but the sample size is limited, making the historical check weak. The model identifies value in betting on X2 (draw or Metz win) with an edge of +13.7% and EV of +48.1%, but entry conditions based on the current score and tempo are not yet met. The top markets recommend watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Caution and risk control are advised if considering a position on X2 or Asian Handicap +1 for Metz.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 26