Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	1.98	1.43	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	2.75	1.88

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5.5	11	1.05	1.14	3.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.08	8

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.0% | EV +56.2% | ROI +71.4% | n=35 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.1% | EV +33.2% | ROI +51.4% | n=35 | k=2.75

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.7% | EV +25.8% | ROI +72.9% | n=35 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.3% | EV +4.4% | ROI +33.9% | n=35 | k=1.88

AI-agent: At 30 minutes into the match, Le Havre leads Metz 2-1, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 22% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Le Havre's dominance in shots and tempo. However, historical data for similar situations suggests a 45.7% chance for a draw or away win (X2), with a strong ROI of 71.4%. The model identifies X2 as the best option with a 15% edge and 56.2% expected value, but entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met, so no bet is advised now. The top markets also recommend watching rather than betting, indicating this is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 30