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Match Replay

Step 24 of 72. Current minute: 33 .
France | Ligue 1 | Le Havre - Metz | 26.04.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 33'   —   Le Havre 2:1 Metz
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 4 2 2 1 - 1.98 1.43 - - -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - - - 2.75 1.88
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.25 5.5 12 1.04 1.14 3.75 - - - - - - 1.1 7
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +52.7% | ROI +71.2% | n=46 | k=3.75
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +11.9% | EV +32.7% | ROI +51.6% | n=46 | k=2.75
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.1% | EV +27.8% | ROI +55.4% | n=46 | k=5.50
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.0% | EV +5.7% | ROI +34.5% | n=46 | k=1.88
AI-agent: At 33 minutes into the match, Le Havre leads Metz 2-1, with no red cards issued. The market increasingly favors the home team, reflected by a 22% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Le Havre's dominance in shots and pressure recently. Historically, similar situations show a 45.7% chance for a draw or away win (X2), with a strong ROI of 71.2%, but the historical data is somewhat limited. The model identifies X2 as the best candidate bet with a 14.1% edge and 52.7% expected value; however, the entry conditions are not fully met given the current score and match tempo, so no bet is advised yet. All top-4 market options suggest monitoring rather than mandatory entry, emphasizing risk control and careful observation before committing stakes.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 33