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Match Replay

Step 26 of 72. Current minute: 36 .
France | Ligue 1 | Le Havre - Metz | 26.04.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 36'   —   Le Havre 2:1 Metz
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 4 2 2 2 - 2 1.43 - - -
Away 1 0 0 2 1 1 1 - - - - 2.75 1.85
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.25 5.5 12 1.04 1.14 3.75 - - - - - - 1.11 6.5
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +14.1% | EV +52.7% | ROI +84.5% | n=63 | k=3.75
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.5% | EV +34.5% | ROI +62.3% | n=63 | k=2.75
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.1% | EV +27.8% | ROI +92.1% | n=63 | k=5.50
4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.4% | EV +6.3% | ROI +41.0% | n=63 | k=1.85
AI-agent: At 36 minutes with Le Havre leading 2-1, the market increasingly favors the home side, reflected by a 22% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Le Havre confirms their advantage in shots, though recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team. Historical data for similar situations suggests a 49.2% chance for a draw or Metz win (X2), with a strong ROI of 84.5%. The best model recommendation is X2 at odds of 3.75, showing a positive edge and expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet given the current score and match tempo. The top-4 markets all suggest watching rather than betting now, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a clear entry opportunity. Caution is advised, with no mandatory bet recommended at this stage.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 36