Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	5	2	3	3	-	2.02	1.43	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	3	1	2	1	-	-	-	-	2.75	1.82

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.25	5.5	13	1.04	1.14	3.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.12	6

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +13.2% | EV +49.7% | ROI +71.7% | n=83 | k=3.75

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.7% | EV +34.9% | ROI +53.6% | n=83 | k=2.75

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +5.4% | EV +29.5% | ROI +78.9% | n=83 | k=5.50

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.8% | EV +6.9% | ROI +34.1% | n=83 | k=1.82

AI-agent: At the 40th minute in the Le Havre vs Metz match, Le Havre leads 2-1. Market pressure favors the home team, with odds dropping 22% from pre-match levels, reflecting their shot advantage. However, recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side, and the score aligns well with the match flow. Historical data suggests a 45.8% chance for a draw or away win (X2) with a strong ROI of 71.7%, but the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match conditions. Top-4 markets recommend watching X2 and related bets with positive expected value, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry point, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 40