Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	1.68	2.02	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	1.82	2.15

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.22	6	11	1.05	1.12	4	-	-	1.04	13	1.22	4.33	1.67	2.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.0% | EV +59.9% | ROI +43.2% | n=2674 | k=4.00

2) Watch | DRAW | Edge +4.4% | EV +26.5% | ROI +17.4% | n=2674 | k=6.00

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +6.3% | EV +13.8% | ROI +10.3% | n=2674 | k=2.20

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.6% | EV +3.4% | ROI +24.9% | n=2674 | k=2.15

AI-agent: At 3 minutes into the match, Le Havre leads Metz 1-0. Market pressure favors the home side with odds dropping 20% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current score. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, and the tempo is slower than their last meeting, which ended 0-0. Historical data for a -1 handicap on Le Havre shows a negative ROI and fails the reliability check, so no bet is advised despite a model signal indicating a potential edge. The top-4 market analysis suggests watching options like double chance on Metz or draw, under 3.5 goals, and away handicap +1.5, all with positive expected value but not strong enough for a confident bet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 3