Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	8	3	5	5	-	2.5	3	1.27	-	-
Away	2	0	0	6	2	4	2	-	-	-	3.55	1.38	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.91	2.88	5.5	1.14	1.36	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | AWAY | Edge +13.2% | EV +72.8% | ROI +5.8% | n=52 | k=5.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +18.9% | EV +28.4% | ROI +44.2% | n=52 | k=1.50

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.5% | EV +22.5% | ROI +35.0% | n=52 | k=1.80

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.8% | EV +5.2% | ROI +60.3% | n=52 | k=2.88

AI-agent: At the 50th minute, the score is tied 2-2 between Le Havre and Metz. The market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 34% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Le Havre, the pre-match favorite, maintains a slight edge in shots, but recent play shows no sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a strong advantage for the away team with an Asian Handicap +1.5, showing a 96.2% win rate and a 44.2% ROI over 52 matches. Although the model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best bet with an 18.9% edge and 28.4% expected value, the entry conditions based on current tempo and match stats are not yet met, so this remains a watch situation. The top markets also suggest monitoring rather than immediate betting, emphasizing risk control in this balanced and active match.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387970 | minute: 50